2016 AT&T Byron Nelson Picks, Including the Driver-Off-The-Deck BOLD Play of the Week #isitThursdayyet

It seems that the PGA Tour has been on an endless string of bad luck with weather lately, and this week’s AT&T Byron Nelson looks to be no exception, as thunderstorms are forecast nearly throughout the tournament. 

The host course is TPC Four Seasons Resort-Las Colinas, which annually plays as one of the toughest par 70’s on Tour, always hovering around the .5 to 1 stroke over par range; however, the soft conditions should provide for dart-throwing, low scoring opportunities, which I’ll venture to say right now could cause Rory Sabbatini’s 19-under par tournament scoring record to fall by weeks’ end.

A choppy week for my picks last week at the PLAYERS as both my Semi-Flier and Driver-off-the-Deck BOLD plays made the cut, but struggled overall (Grace t-57th and Leishman t-64th).  I whiffed on Spieth bouncing back from his Masters implosion as he missed the cut, but I did spot on nail Phil as my BUST of the week, as he missed the cut as predicted.

Now, let’s hop into some picks for this week:

LOCKZILLA (Last week: Spieth MC)

Ryan Palmer
Ryan Palmer
– I’m all in on the turning-40-later-year Texan this week, as he comes in on the heels of some solid form—t-4th at Valero and t-23rd at the PLAYERS—and with three top 10’s in his past 5 appearances here, including a t-10th last year and a playoff loss in 2011.  Way too damn good of a player to not have won since the Sony Open way back in 2010, I think this very well could be the week he finds his way back into the winner’s circle.

SEMI-FLIER (Last week: Grace t-57th)

Brooks Koepka
Brooks Koepka
– After a very unexpected pair of MC’s at the Shell Houston Open and the Valero Texas Open, many may be shying away from picking Koepka, but I’m telling you that now is the time to pounce.  His long-bombing game will fit perfectly into what will be a dart-throwing contest on these soggy surfaces, and he should feel some nice vibes following his t-16th here last year.  He also played well last week at Sawgrass in opening 66-70 before the course got out of control conditions-wise.  Makes for a semi-sneaky great OAD play this week.

HOSEL-ROCKET BUST (Last week: Phil MC)

Louis Oosthuizen
Louis Oosthuizen
– I’m 1 for 1 in my Louis BUST picks this year, as I spot on nailed him missing the cut at the Shell Houston Open, despite him being a favorite that week, and I’m calling for the same this week.  Always a high WD risk, avoid Louis this week and thank me later.

DRIVER-OFF-THE-DECK-BOLD-PLAY-OF-THE-WEEK (Last week: Leishman t-64th)

Martin Flores
Martin Flores
– Going extra BOLD here this week with my man Martin, who is teeing it up in his first PGA Tour event since the Sanderson Farms Championship in November, where he finished t-12th.  No worries, he hasn’t been just parked on his couch since then, but rather he’s been contending regularly on the Web.com Tour, with 4 finishes of solo 4th or better since January, most recently finishing 4th at the El Bosque Mexico Championship the last week in April.  Oh yeah, and he’s a Fort Worth boy, who has made the cut here in three straight years, so expect him to make the most of his exemption into the field this week.  Martin Flores is my Driver-off-the-Deck BOLD play of the week!

#isitThursdayyet

Joel Harrington
@joel4deepgolf

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