2016 BMW Championship Picks, Including the Driver-Off-The-Deck BOLD Play of the Week #isitThursdayyet

From the Labor Day Monday finish at the Deutsche Bank Championship, which saw Rory capture his first PGA Tour title in seemingly 3 years, to the Hoosier state we go for this week’s BMW Championship.  With the DBC ending on a Monday, it’s a short week, so let’s hop right in.

Crooked Stick, host course for this week’s BMW, is a Pete Dye design that plays just a shade under 7,600 yards.  When Rory won here back in 2012 it was a squishy bomber’s paradise; however, don’t let his 20-under winning score that week fool you.  With the newly added distance and 3 1/2 inch rough, expect for the scoring to be much tougher this time around.  Still though, length will be a huge advantage to target this week.

My picks last week at the Deutsche Bank Championship were so-so, highlighted by my LOCKZILLA on Louis Oosthuizen who came through nicely to the tune of a t-8th finish.  I also spot on nailed another BUST pick of the week as Sean O’Hair finished wildly out of contention at t-53rd, the week after finishing runner-up.

Now, let’s hop into some picks:

LOCKZILLA (Last week: Oosthuizen t-8th)

Hideki Matsuyama
Hideki Matsuyama
– Mr Withdrawayama always comes with somewhat of a WD risk, but he unquestionably has the talent to win anywhere, and after a couple of quiet weeks I LOVE his chances in a no-cut event, despite the fact that he’s never competed here before.  Hidekify your lineups this week and thank me later.

SEMI-FLIER (Last week: Thomas MC)

Kevin Chappell
Kevin Chappell
– Quite simply one of the most wildly inconsistent players on Tour, as he has the propensity to shoot both extremely low and high.  Well, the big numbers won’t cost him as much this week as there is no cut, so even a bad stretch or entire round won’t shoot him entirely out of the tournament.  Oh, and he’s still playing for an outside shot at a Ryder Cup captain’s pick, we could sure use a young firecracker like him on the Team USA squad at Hazeltine in a few weeks…

HOSEL-ROCKET BUST (Last week: O’Hair t-53rd)

Luke Donald
Luke Donald
– I’ve always been a big Luke Donald fan, but this is not the week to hop aboard the Wildcat’s back.  Ok, yes, I realize that he has somewhat of a local connection as he went to college at relatively nearby Northwestern (~2 hours away) and his wife’s family is from Chicago (where they still have a residence); however, at nearly 7,600 yards long he will have to be on his A scrambling game all week just to finish in the top half of the field.  He’s simply not anywhere near long or accurate enough to compete on a course like this.  Considering that he’s not in his best form and that he’s not on the Euro Ryder Cup squad, it’ll make for an easy coast straight into the “offseason” with 4 rounds and out for Luke this week.

DRIVER-OFF-THE-DECK BOLD PLAY OF THE WEEK (Last week: Kisner t-46th)

Ryan Palmer
Ryan Palmer
– Annually one of the most quietly consistent players on Tour, the soon-to-be 40-year-old Texan has put up 9 top 25 finishes in just 22 starts this season, including each of the past two weeks in the FedEx Cup Playoffs.  He did play here in the 2012 edition of the BMW (t-45h), and has the length to compete anywhere.  Look for another sneaky solid top 25 finish with top 10 upside from Ryan this week.

#isitThursdayyet

Joel Harrington
@joel4deepgolf

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