2017 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Picks, Including the Driver-Off-The-Deck BOLD Play of the Week #isitThursdayyet

After a thrilling week in the AZ desert, the PGA Tour treks back to the Cali coast for this week’s tourney- the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am.  So yeah, time for some bumpy poa annua greens, excessive celebrity hacking and 6-hour death-march rounds, woohoo!  Ok yeah, that may sound a little bit harsh, but nothing worse than having the most picturesque course on Tour completely ruined by that fat hacker Chris Berman, Ray Romano that sandbagger Maury Povich and other amateur chops hogging almost all of the tv airtime.  It’s not their fault that they suck at golf, but damnit CBS—just show so actual PGA Tour golf, would ya please!  Seriously, “celebrity day” Saturday at Pebble Beach is the worst day of the year to watch the PGA Tour on tv, hands down.  It’s the only Saturday of the year where even if I’m around, I refuse to tune into the tv coverage.  Ok, phew.  Rant. Over.

For those that aren’t aware, it may be called the Pebble Beach National Pro-Am, but the tourney is actually played on three different courses over the first three rounds—Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterrey Peninsula CC—with everyone surviving the 54 hole cut advancing to Sunday at Pebble Beach.

Pebble and Spyglass each play to a par of 72, while Monterrey plays to a par 71.  Spyglass annually plays as the toughest of the trio in relation to par, with Pebble playing as the easiest, although the stroke averages among the three really don’t differ too greatly—nothing even close to the vast difference of stroke average that we saw two weeks ago week between Torrey Pines North and South courses.  This week, each course has notoriously small greens, particularly Pebble, with greens averaging a mere 3,500 square feet putting fairways hit and GIR at a real premium.  And again, it’s poa greens folks, so anything can happen (especially with all of those celebrity footprints!)

Only one of my 3 picks (Koepka) made the weekend last week at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, but I spot on nailed another big name to miss the cut in Justin Thomas.  Let’s see if I can keep the heater going in the BUST category.

Now, let’s hop into some picks for this week:

LOCKZILLA (Last week: Koepka t-42nd)

Dustin Johnson
Dustin Johnson
– This long-bombing, pot smoking California goose loves him some Pebble, as in his last 8 Pebble appearances he has two victories, a t-2nd, t-4th, t-5th and a t-7th.  So yeah, sign me up.  Nevermind the MC two weeks ago at Torrey Pines, as he’s flashed recent good form going t-6th at Kapalua and t-2nd in Abu Dhabi on the European Tour.  Chalk all the way with DJ this week.

SEMI-FLIER (Last week: Keegan MC)

Jonas Blixt
Jonas Blixt
– This highly erratic Swede can really struggle to put four solid rounds together, but did just that with 67-69-67-69 in finishing solo 3rd here a year ago.  He comes into this week on the heels of back-to-back made cuts, with a t-20th at the Farmers Insurance Open two weeks ago and a t-52nd in Phoenix last week, which included a 64 on Friday.  Lots of risk here, but the upside is very high as well.

HOSEL-ROCKET BUST (Last week: Thomas MC)

Matt Kuchar
Matt Kuchar
– Spot on nailed Justin Thomas as the BUST of the week last week in Phoenix and sure enough, he played his way into the weekend off.  This week’s highly ranked player to miss the cut?  None other than Kooooooch.  Other than his opening round 64, in which he made putts all the way from Texas, it was sort of just a ho-hum week for Matty as he backed up to a t-9th finish.  It’s actually better than I would’ve predicted he was going to play last week, but with this being his first visit to Pebble since 2010, in which he WD’d after two rounds, I expect him to quickly remind himself why he hasn’t been back in 7 years.


Jason Kokrak
Jason Kokrak
– Yep, I’m back aboard the Kokrak train this week.  I swung and missed with him in this same spot last week at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, but am right back aboard at a venue where he’s posted a t-9th, t-19th and t-30th in his past five appearances.  He’s on the heels of back-to-back missed cuts, so his ownership will be extra low, which gives you all the more reason to invest with confidence.  Trust me, it’ll pay off sooner than later.

Joel Harrington


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