2018 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Picks, Including the Driver-Off-The-Deck BOLD Play of the Week #isitThursdayyet

After Gary Woodland’s emotional win in the AZ desert, the PGA Tour treks back to the Cali coast for this week’s tourney- the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am.  So yeah, time for some bumpy poa annua greens, excessive celebrity hacking and 6 1/2 hour death-march rounds, woohoo!  Ok yeah, that may sound a little bit harsh, but nothing worse than having the most picturesque course on Tour completely ruined by that fat hacker Chris Berman, Ray Romano that sandbagger Maury Povich and other amateur chops hogging almost all of the tv airtime.  It’s not their fault that they suck at golf, but damnit CBS—just show so actual PGA Tour golf, would ya please!  Seriously, “celebrity day” Saturday at Pebble Beach is the worst day of the year to watch the PGA Tour on tv, hands down.  It’s the only Saturday of the year where even if I’m around, I refuse to tune into the tv coverage.  Ok, phew.  Rant. Over.

For those that aren’t aware, it may be called the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am, but the tourney is actually played on three different courses over the first three rounds—Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterrey Peninsula CC—with everyone surviving the 54 hole cut advancing to Sunday at Pebble Beach.

Pebble and Spyglass each play to a par of 72, while Monterrey plays to a par 71.  Spyglass annually plays as the toughest of the trio in relation to par, with Pebble playing as the easiest, although the stroke averages among the three really don’t differ too greatly—nothing even close to the vast difference of stroke average that we saw two weeks ago week between Torrey Pines North and South courses.  This week, each course has notoriously small greens, particularly Pebble, with greens averaging a mere 3,500 square feet putting fairways hit and GIR at a real premium.  And again, it’s poa greens folks, so anything can happen (especially with all of those celebrity footprints!)

My picks last week at the Waste Management Phoenix Open left some to be desired, as only my BOLD play on Jason Kokrak came through making the weekend (t-31st finish).  I did spot on nail J.B. Holmes as an easy bust, as he missed the cut as predicted despite his good track record there.

Now, let’s hop into some picks for this week:

LOCKZILLA (Last week: Spieth MC)

Dustin Johnson
Dustin Johnson
–  This long-bombing, pot smoking California goose loves him some Pebble, as in his last 8 Pebble appearances he has two victories, a t-2nd, 3rd, t-4th, t-5th and a t-7th.  Oh yeah, and he won in his last PGA Tour start (Kapalua) and looked solid in his Middle East trip as well.  So yeah, sign me up.  Chalk all the way with DJ as my Lockzilla this week.

SEMI-FLIER (Last week: English MC)

Beau Hossler
Beau Hossler
– The 22-year-old young buck continues to impress, making his last 3 cuts, including a t-17th last week in Phoenix.  Missed the cut last year here in his Pebble debut, but he also came in with considerably less Tour experience at that point as well.  Going back 5 1/2 years now to when he finished t-29th at the 2012 U.S. Open at not-too-far-away Olympic Club, Beau loves him some Cali golf.  Not sure he’s quite ready to post his first top 5 PGA Tour finish yet (two top 10s in the fall), but then again you’ll regret being late to the party when he inevitably does.

Also keep an eye on Graeme McDowell this week.

HOSEL-ROCKET BUST (Last week: Holmes MC)

Bubba Watson
Bubba Watson
– Hmmm, let me see.  6 hour rounds, bumpy greens and a temper.  What does that equal?  Yep, a weekend off.  Don’t worry though, after finally regaining his senses and switching back to his ProV1s after his Volvik deal expired late last fall, Bubba will be in another non-BUST spot on a future blog post of mine very soon.


Jason Kokrak
Jason Kokrak
– Yep, right back to the well on the Kokster again this week after I had him in this exact same spot last week at the WMPO (t-31st).  He’s becoming a cut-making machine on Tour, as he’s only missed one cut since last July, not too shabby considering he’s played 12 events since then.  Loves him some Pebble too, as he has 4 top 30 finishes here in 6 tries, including a t-9th in ’12 and a t-23rd here last year after bouncing back from an opening round 77.  Jason Kokrak (again) is your Driver-off-the-Deck BOLD play of the week!


Joel Harrington

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