AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am preview, picks + predictions, plus the Driver-Off-The-Deck BOLD Play of the Week #6HourDeathMarch

This week the PGA Tour travels northward to the Monterrey Peninsula for the annual AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am aka the 6 hour death march with bumpy greens.  Ok, that’s maybe a little harsh, but then again, it’s actually quite accurate and is definitely why Tiger and some other top names no longer play here (something about being paired up with Chris Berman while he hacks his way up and down along the ocean coastline just doesn’t seem to jive with some of these pro’s….).

This tourney is played at three different courses- Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterrey Peninsula CC. Pebble and Spyglass each play to a par of 72, while Monterrey plays to a par 70.  Spyglass annually plays as the toughest of the trio in relation to par, with Pebble playing as the easiest (although the stroke averages among the three really don’t differ too greatly).  Each course has notoriously small greens, particularly Pebble, with greens averaging a mere 3,500 square feet putting fairways hit and GIR at a real premium.

My picks were mighty solid last week at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, with Webb Simpson, Harris English and Ryan Moore all finishing in the top ten.  In fact hey, I won the week in Fantasy golf in the Yahoo league that I play in with some buddies (group of 50).  Here’s to keeping things rolling this week!

Now, onto some picks:

LOCKZILLAS (Last Week: Webb 10th, English 9th)

Jason Day
Jason Day
– It’s been a couple of years since the best-player-to-only-have-won-once-on-Tour has teed it up at Pebble, but frankly he could be teeing it up in Sochi snow-golf-orange-ball-style and I’d still be picking him (aka he’s red hot right now and you can’t not have him in your fantasy lineups this week).  Top 15s in his last seven worldwide starts including a t-2nd at Torrey Pines two weeks ago.  Yes please!

Jason Kokrak
Jason Kokrak
– Sticking with the Jason theme here, this dude has been consistently hot and steady, but still is flying under the radar.  T-15th last week in Phoenix, t-20th at the Sony Open and a t-10th and t-12th during the fall season and this long bomber just screams potential.  Also finished t-9th at Pebble in 2012, I love his chances to seriously contend this week.

SEMI-FLIER (Last Week: Palmer t-48th)

Kevin Na
Kevin Na
– I a so Naaaaaaat a Kevin Na fan, but this king of slow will fit right into the the 5 ½ to 6 hour snail-paced rounds this week.  Finished a sneaky t-19th last week in Phoenix, also finished t-5th here in 2012 and t-22nd here last year.

HOSEL-ROCKET BUST (Snedeker t-61st)

Ryan Palmer
Ryan Palmer
– I’ve taken Ryno twice now already this season in my picks, but it’s time to quickly face those palms outward and fade this notoriously streaky player this week.  Missed 3 of his last 5 cuts at Pebble (finished t-70th in one of his made cuts) and his quicker pace of play just doesn’t gel whatsoever with this tournament.  Expect another MC in the column from the Texan this week.

DRIVER-OFF-THE-DECK BOLD PLAY OF THE WEEK (Moore t-6th)

Russell Knox
Russell Knox
– Much like Jason Kokrak (one of my Lockzillas this week), Knox has been extremely solid this season but is also flying well under the radar to this point.  Finished t-10th at Torrey Pines in his last start, t-13th at the Humana and is a GIR machine hitting 74% of greens, good enough for 20th on Tour.  Finished t-28th here last year after an opening round 64.  I love Russell to make some big noise this week.

#isitThursdayyet

Joel Harrington
@joel4deepgolf

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